Highway Agency Costs:
Highway agencies are changed with
the responsibility of planning, constructing, maintaining, and operating the
roads under their jurisdictions. Where appropriate, the costs of these
activities are included in economy studies. However, many of these agency
costs, particularly those for planning and some of the overhead charges
associated with other operations, are not affected by proposed investments and
they should be excluded from economic comparisons. The costs per mile to
construct and maintain highways vary tremendously. Construction costs may vary
from a few thousand to ten of millions dollars. Maintenance costs also vary
greatly. However, appropriate values are usually available in the records of
highway agencies.
For economy studies, the accuracy
needed for the costs of rights of way, construction, maintenance, and operation
will be different, depending on their use for example, it long-range
projections are being made for needs studies or advanced planning, only average
costs per mile might be considered, based on past experience in similar
situations. At the other extreme, if, for example, alternative pavement designs
or materials are being compared, the individual cost elements might be
developed in considerable detail. Discussions of such estimating procedures are
outside the scope of this book.
Interest as a Cost:
In economy
studies for private business, interest is always treated as one of the costs of
invested capital. This is logical, since the money for the investment comes
either by withholding earnings from owners or stockholders, from borrowing from
others and paying interest on the borrowed funds, or by foregoing other
investment opportunities that should produce a return. In the past in the
public works field some have argued that interest should be charged only where
borrowing will finance the proposed project. This viewpoint has now largely
disappeared as two concepts have been accepted. These are (a) that capital can
and should be productive and (b) that interest is a reward or incentive for
deferred consumption, as is the case when money is invested in highways because
of anticipated future benefits. Winfrey (op. cit., Chapt. 5) has proposed that
the word overcharge be substituted for interest to distinguish those situations
where no specific monetary return is anticipated.
Among highway engineers today, two
different viewpoints regarding interest as a cost are advocated and utilized:
1.
Interest
should be charges at the current rate at which a particular highway agency can
borrow money. The charge is included even though road improvements are financed
from current income. If the uncertainty inherent in estimates of future
happenings is recognized at all, it is done by adopting a conservative value
for future benefits.
2.
Interest
should be charged at a rate representing the minimum attractive return. This
would e somewhat higher than the cost of borrowed money in order to recognize
the risk involved in all predictions of future events. The rate would be set for
each agency after representative projects which promise the best use of (usually)
limited highway funds are analyzed. In any event, the rate of return would be
high enough to discourage investments that do not appear attractive in the
light of future uncertainties.
The
decision regarding interest rates has a tremendous influence on the results of
economy studies. Assume, for example, that interest rates of 0, 3, 6, and 10%,
respectively, are employed for a proposal that has a first cost of $1000 and an
estimated life of 30 yr. Then the annual return needed to recover the $1000 in
30 yr, using interest at 0%, will be $33.33; at 3%, $51.02; at 6%, $72.65, and
at 10%, $106.08.
The
first of the two viewpoints outlined above was adopted by the AASHO committee
in its report. Several interest rates, ranging from 3 ½ to 6% were used in
their illustrative examples. Federal water agencies use the same approach, but
indicate that estimates must be conservative to allow for risk.
The
second point of view, which comes closer to that found in private enterprise,
is favored by a number of writers in the highway and other public works fields.
The minimum attractive rate of return, 7% or higher, would include a charge for
the use of the invested funds and a safety factor to reflect the risk involved
in even the best estimates. The actual rate might be set at a some what higher
level for higher risk projects. And, where funds are limited and there are many
opportunities for investment in projects showing high rates of return, the rate
should be set at the level where funds will be exhausted to avoid error or
confusion in interpreting study results.
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