Service
lives of Highway Elements:
To develop information on service
lives or life expectancies for all kinds of highways and their individual
elements in various environments would be difficult. There are many variables
such as soil, climate, topography, and traffic volume that will affect
differently the life of essentially the same type of highway in different places.
In flat country the alignment may remain unchanged for many years. On the other
hand, a road in rolling or mountains areas originally built on cheap crooked
alignment often becomes obsolete because of restricted speeds and is relocated
long before the life of the pavement is reached. Also, the art of highway
building changes so that the date of construction will influence the probable
life of a new highway of given type. Finally, it is common to incorporate
portions of an existing facility into any reconstruction, as when pavements are
resurfaced or lanes, new roadways, or grade separations are added to increase
capacity. In these situations, the practice of classifying resurfacing or
reconstruction as a form of retirement might be questioned. In sum, forecasting
service lives and time to retirement from historical data is difficult and
uncertain.
Studies of the service lives and
life expectancies of pavements were begun about 1935 and have been updated form
time to time. Some of the findings on past service lives and reasons for
retirement of several pavements types are listed in table 4-1.
Table 4-1
Average Service livers and retirement causes for highway surfaces.
Method of
retirement (%of mileage)
|
|||||
Surface
|
Service life
(yr)
|
Resurfaced
|
Reconstructed
|
Abandoned
|
Retired
|
Low type
Soil Surface*
Gravel or stone*
|
4.0
7.5
|
37.5
58.0
|
58.1
30.4
|
1.2
2.5
|
3.2
9.1
|
Intermediate type
Bituminous surface-treated**
Mixed Bituminous+**
|
14.0
12.0
|
58.5
59.8
|
32.6
30.3
|
2.5
2.0
|
6.4
7.9
|
High type
Bituminous concrete++**
Portland cement concrete**
|
17.0
25.0
|
57.4
66.0
|
27.7
22.8
|
2.2
1.8
|
12.7
9.4
|
* Source: Public
Roads, June 1956, p20.
** Source: HRB
Record 252. Pp. 1-23.
+ Thickness of
surface and base less than 7 in.
+- Mixed
bituminous or bituminous penetration with of surface and base 7 in or more.
Several
procedures for forecasting future retirements from such historical data have
been developed. One of these, the annual rate method, employs data on
retirements in a single year or band of years to develop “survivor” curves. In
turn, “type survivor curves” selected from a family of such curves may be
fitted to the plot. This approach is illustrated in fig. 4-1. Another procedure
is called the “turnover method.” It compares the accumulated units in service
with the accumulated retirements.
Methods for forecasting service
lives and life expectancies till reconstruction or resurfacing, based on AASHO
pavement design procedures, have also been developed. Also, remaining service
lives are being predicted by measuring the strength of existing pavements.
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